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2017年伦敦财富管理奖
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2013最佳创新外汇平台奖
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2020年 Cyprus HR Awards 颁赠
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荣获2023年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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荣获2022年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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荣获2019年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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Shares Magazine 授予 UK Forex Awards 2018
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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2017年伦敦财富管理奖
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market analysis
【XM Group】--AUD/USD Forex Signal: Rally Takes a Breather
Risk Warning:
The purpose of information release is to warn investors of risks and does not constitute any investment advice. The relevant data and information are from third parties and are for reference only. Investors are requested to verify before use and assume all risks.
Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "【XM Group】--AUD/USD Forex Signal: Rally Takes a Breather". I hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:
Bearish view
- Sell the AUD/USD pair and set a take-profit at 0.6500.
- Add a stop-loss at 0.6700.
- Timeline: 1-2 days.
Bullish view
- Buy the AUD/USD pair and set a take-profit at 0.6700.
- Add a stop-loss at 0.6500.
The AUD/USD exchange rate pulled back for three consecutive days as the recent rally took a breather after the Federal Reserve interest decision and after Australia published its August jobs report. It retreated to a low of 0.6592, down by 1.73% from its highest point this year.
Australia Jobs Report and Federal Reserve Decision
The AUD/USD pair retreated after the Federal Reserve delivered its first interest rate cut of the year. Officials also sent a more dovish tone than expected, signaling that they would deliver two more cuts this year.
The Fed is concerned about the labor market, which has deteriorated in the past few months, with employers concerned about Donald Trump’s tariffs. A report released earlier this month showed that the economy created just 22,000 jobs in August as the unemployment rate rose to 4.3%.
The AUD/USD pair also pulled back after Australia published weak jobs numbers, raising the possibility that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will cut interest rates in the upcoming meeting. Still, most analysts expect the bank to pause rate cuts and continue with the gradual easing cycle.
This report showed that the economy lost 5,400 jobs in August, much lower than the expected addition of 21,500 jobs. The jobless rate remained at 4.2%, while the annual jobs growth slowed to 1.5% from 3.5% earlier this year.
Looking ahead, the next key catalyst for the AUD/USD exchange rate will be the upcoming speeches by top Fed officials like Tom Barkin, Beth Hammack, Stephen Miran, and Musalem. It will be the first time these officials have spoken since the last meeting.
The AUD/USD pair will also react to the upcoming flash manufacturing and services PMI data on Tuesday. These numbers will provide more information on the health of the Australian economy.
AUD/USD Technical Analysis
The daily timeframe chart shows that the AUD/USD exchange rate has pulled back in the past few days. It has moved from a high of 0.6706 last week to the current 0.6592, its lowest level since April.
The pair has dropped below the important support at 0.6620, the highest swing on July 24. Moving below that level confirmed a bearish breakout.
On the positive side, the pair remains above the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). That is a sign that bulls are still in control.
Therefore, the most likely scenario is where the pair continues falling briefly and then resumes the upside.
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